Incerteza, Risco e Futuro Aberto: educação científica e Mundo Contemporâneo
DOI :
https://doi.org/10.54343/reiec.v20iEspecial.523Résumé
Este artigo de reflexão discute como a ideia moderna de “progresso”, entendida como melhoria das condições materiais médias de vida, entra em tensão com a produção contemporânea de riscos e com a expansão da incerteza. A partir do quadro da “sociedade do risco” (Beck) e dos “riscos fabricados” e da confiança em sistemas especializados (Giddens), argumenta-se que muitas ameaças atuais são difíceis de perceber objetivamente devido à sua invisibilidade, rapidez e caráter emergente. Defendem-se implicações para a educação científica: formar cidadãos capazes de avaliar riscos, deliberar em cenários de incerteza e compreender os limites e o alcance do conhecimento especializado nas decisões públicas
Téléchargements
Références
Abrantes, P. (1998). Kuhn e a noção de exemplar. Principia: an international journal of epistemology, 2(1), 61–
Australian Curriculum, Assessment and Reporting Authority. (2014). The Australian curriculum. https://www.
australiancurriculum.edu.au/Home. Accessed 15 Dec 2025.
Beck, U. (1992). Risk society: Towards a new modernity (M. Ritter, Trans.). Sage. (Original work published 1986).
Beck, U. (1996). World risk society as cosmopolitan society? Ecological questions in a framework of manufactured uncertainties. Theory, Culture & Society, 13(4), 1–32.
Beck, U., Blok, A., Tyfield, D., & Zhang, J. Y. (2013). Cosmopolitan communities of climate risk: conceptual and empirical suggestions for a new research agenda. Global Networks, 13(1), 1–21.
Beck, U., Giddens, A., & Lash, S. (1994). Reflexive modernization: Politics, tradition and aesthetics in the modern social order. Stanford University Press.
Bernardo, S., Vasconcelos, M. L., & Rocha, F. (2025). SDG progress and well-being across the EU. Are we happier yet? Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 12, 1796. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-025-06064-4
England. (2014). The National Curriculum in England. Department For Education. https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government . Accessed 15 Apr 2025.
Espeland, W. N., & Sauder, M. (2007). Rankings and reactivity: How public measures recreate social worlds. American Journal of Sociology, 113(1), 1–40. https://doi.org/10.1086/517897
Funtowicz, S. O., & Ravetz, J. R. (1993). Science for the post-normal age. *Futures, 25*(7), 739–755. https://doi.org/10.1016/0016-3287(93)90022-L
Gerges, E. (2025). Science education in the age of misinformation. Frontiers in Education, 10. https://doi.org/10.3389/feduc.2025.1615769
Giddens, A. (1990). The consequences of modernity. Polity Press.
Giddens, A. (1991). Modernity and self-identity: Self and society in the late modern age. Polity Press.
Giddens, A. (1991). Modernity and Self-Identity: Self and Society in the Late Modern Age. Stanford University Press.
Giddens, A., & Pierson, C. (1998). Conversations with Anthony Giddens: Making sense of modernity. Stanford University Press.
Hansen, J., & Hammann, M. (2017). Risk in science instruction. Science & Education, 26, 749–775. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11191-017-9923-1
House of Lords (2000). Science and technology - third report, Science and Technology Committee Publications. London: House of Lords.
Ianni, A. M. Z. choque antropológico. Sociologias 14, 364–380 (2012).
James, W. (1897/1956). The dilemma of determinism. In The will to believe and other essays in popular philosophy (pp. 145–183). Dover Publications.
Jasanoff, S. (2003). Technologies of humility: Citizen participation in governing science. Minerva, 41(3), 223–244. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1025557512320
Koselleck, R. (2004). Futures past: On the semantics of historical time (K. Tribe, Trans.). Columbia University Press.
Laherto, A., & Rasa, T. (2022). Facilitating transformative science education through futures thinking. On the Horizon, 30(2), 96–103. [https://doi.org/10.1108/OTH-09-2021-0114]
Laplace, P.-S. (1814/1951). A philosophical essay on probabilities (F. W. Truscott & F. L. Emory, Trans.). Dover Publications.
Levrini, O., Pietrocola, M., & Erduran, S. (2024). Breaking Free from Laplace’s Chains: Reimagining Science Education Beyond Determinism. Science & Education, 33, 489–494. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11191-024-00528-w
Levrini, O., & Fantini, P. (2013). Encountering productive forms of complexity in learning modern physics. Science & Education, 22(8), 1895–1910. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11191-013-9587-4
Levrini, O., Tasquier, G., Branchetti, L., & Barelli, E. (2019). Developing future-scaffolding skills through science education. International Journal of Science Education, 41(18), 2647–2674. https://doi.org/10.1080/09500693.2019.1693080
Lorenz, E. N. (1963). Deterministic nonperiodic flow. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 20(2), 130–141. [https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1963)020]
Mendelson, D. (2010). Central terms and thinkers. In A. Elliot (Ed.), The Routledge companion to social theory.
London: Routledge.
Millar, R. (2006). Twenty first century science: insights from the design and implementation of a scientific literacy approach in school science. International Journal of Science Education, 28(13), 1499–1521.
https://doi.org/10.1080/09500690600718344.
SEPUP (2018). Decision making probability and risk assessment. Science Education for Public Understanding
Program. https://sepuplhs.org/middle/modules/decision/index.html. Accessed 17 Apr 2025.
Silva, L. do N. (2023). Educação científica e sociedade de risco: Um estudo exploratório sobre percepção de risco acerca da pandemia de COVID-19 [Dissertação de mestrado, Universidade de São Paulo]. Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP. https://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/81/81131/tde-15082023-165737/publico/Leandro_do_Nascimento_Silva.pdf
Park, W. (2025). STEM education for transformative hazard literacy: From technological fixes to slow learning. Journal of Hazard Literacy, 1(1), e3. https://doi.org/10.63737/jhl.25.0014](https://doi.org/10.63737/jhl.25.0014
Petzold, A. M., & Nichols, M. D. (2025). Regaining scientific authority in a post-truth landscape. Publications, 13(4), 65. https://doi.org/10.3390/publications13040065
Pietrocola, M., Rodrigues, E., Bercot, F., & Schnorr, S. (2021). Risk society and science education. Science & Education, 30, 209–233. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11191-020-00176-w)
Pietrocola, M., Schnorr, S., & Rodrigues, E. (2025). Science education in a risk society: Addressing challenges and opportunities in an uncertain future. Research in Science Education, 55(4), 941–960. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11165-025-10238-0
Popper, K. R. (1982). The open universe: An argument for indeterminism. Rowman & Littlefield.
Price, H. (1996). Time’s arrow and Archimedes’ point: New directions for the physics of time. Oxford University Press.
Rosa, H. (2003). Social acceleration: Ethical and political consequences of a desynchronized high–speed society. Constellations, 10(1), 3–33. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8675.00309
Rosenberg, J. M., Kubsch, M., Wagenmakers, E.-J., & Dogucu, M. (2022). Making sense of uncertainty in the science classroom: A Bayesian approach. Science & Education, 31(5), 1239–1262. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11191-022-00341-3
Schenk, P., Van Gorp, A., & Boone, W. (2019). Scientific literacy in context: Examining science education and its societal implications. Cultural Studies of Science Education, 14(3), 721–732.
Schöngart, S., Nicholls, Z., Hoffmann, R., et al. (2025). High-income groups disproportionately contribute to climate extremes worldwide. Nature Climate Change, 15, 627–633. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02325-x
Snowden, D., & Boone, M. E. (2007). A Leader's Framework for Decision Making. Harvard Business Review, 85(11), 68–76.
Sørensen, M. P. (2018). Ulrich Beck: exploring and contesting risk. Journal of Risk Research, 21(1), 6–16.
https://doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2017.1359204.
Toulmin, S. (1990). Cosmopolis: The hidden agenda of modernity. Free Press.
van Strien, M. (2014). On the origins and foundations of Laplacian determinism. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A, 45(1), 24–31. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.shpsa.2013.11.005
Van Beurden, E., & Kia, A. (2018). Wicked Problems and Climate Change: Re-framing the Wicked Problem of Climate Change as a Wicked Integration Problem. Journal of Business Ethics, 152(1), 83–101.
White, P. J., Ferguson, J. P., O’Connor Smith, N., & O’Shea Carre, H. (2022). School strikers enacting politics for climate justice: Daring to think differently about education. Australian Journal of Environmental Education, 38(1), 26–39. http://doi.org/10.1017/aee.2021.24
World Health Organization (WHO). (2019). A World at Risk: Annual Report on Global Preparedness for Health Emergencies. World Health Organization.
Wynne, B. (1992). Misunderstood misunderstandings: Social identities and public uptake of science. Public Understanding of Science, 1(3), 281–304. https://doi.org/10.1088/0963-6625/1/3/004
Zeh, H. D. (2007). The physical basis of the direction of time (5th ed.). Springer.
Zeidler, D. L., Applebaum, S. M., & Sadler, T. D. (2011). Enacting a socioscientific issues classroom: Transformative transformations. In T. Sadler (Ed.), Socio-scientific issues in the classroom (Contemporary Trends and Issues in Science Education, Vol. 39). Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-1159-4_16
Téléchargements
Publiée
Numéro
Rubrique
Licence
(c) Tous droits réservés Maurício Pietrocola 2025

Ce travail est disponible sous licence Creative Commons Attribution - Pas d’Utilisation Commerciale 4.0 International.
Derechos de autor Revista Electrónica de Investigación en Educación en Ciencias
Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial 4.0.
Todo el trabajo debe ser original e inédito. La presentación de un artículo para publicación implica que el autor ha dado su consentimiento para que el artículo se reproduzca en cualquier momento y en cualquier forma que la Revista Electrónica de Investigación en Educación en Ciencias considere apropiada. Los artículos son responsabilidad exclusiva de los autores y no necesariamente representan la opinión de la revista, ni de su editor. La recepción de un artículo no implicará ningún compromiso de la Revista Electrónica de Investigación en Educación en Ciencias para su publicación. Sin embargo, de ser aceptado los autores cederán sus derechos patrimoniales a la Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires para los fines pertinentes de reproducción, edición, distribución, exhibición y comunicación en Argentina y fuera de este país por medios impresos, electrónicos, CD ROM, Internet o cualquier otro medio conocido o por conocer. Los asuntos legales que puedan surgir luego de la publicación de los materiales en la revista son responsabilidad total de los autores. Cualquier artículo de esta revista se puede usar y citar siempre que se haga referencia a él correctamente.














